The UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR) reported a historic shift in global displacement trends, with refugee numbers declining for the first time in ten years. By the end of 2025, 117.8 million people remained forcibly displaced worldwide, including 41.6 million refugees. While this represents a decrease of 5.4 million, the agency cautioned that many returns occurred under duress rather than improved conditions.Asahi Shimbun+2
The decline marks a reversal of the steady upward trajectory seen since 2015. Key factors include returns to Afghanistan, DR Congo, Sudan, and Syria, though many areas remain unstable. Seventy percent of refugees have been displaced for over five years, indicating systemic challenges in resolving long-term crises.Libération+1
Newly appointed High Commissioner Saleh revealed that many returnees face dire circumstances, particularly in Lebanon where over a million were displaced by mid-2026. The UN emphasized that decreased numbers don't equate to sustainable solutions, with many returning to conflict zones or inadequate infrastructure.The New York Times+1
UNHCR announced an ambitious target to halve long-term refugee numbers by 2035. However, the agency stressed this requires coordinated international efforts, as current returns often reflect worsening host country conditions rather than true resolution of displacement causes.Asahi Shimbun+1